— Bob-a-job-alog-a-roonie

My annual disclaimer: I’m not too knowledgeable about forwards!

Here’s my 32-man squad:

Hookers

Hikawera Elliot
Andrew Hore
Jason Rutledge

Props

Ben May
Owen Franks
Charlie Faumuina
Wyatt Crockett

Locks

Jeremy Thrush
Ali Williams
Brodie Retallick
Brad Thorn
Luke Romano

Loose Forwards

Victor Vito
Luke Braid
Liam Messam
Sam Cane
Richie McCaw (not coming back this year?)
Kieran Read

Halfbacks

TJ Perenara
Aaron Smith
Andrew Ellis

First-Fives

Beauden Barrett
Aaron Cruden
Gareth Anscombe (injured?)
Dan Carter

Centres

Conrad Smith (injured?)
Francis Saili
Robbie Fruean

Wings

Julian Savea
Israel Dagg
Rene Ranger

Fullbacks

Andre Taylor
Charles Piutau

 

Update – the 38-man training squad has been announced.

Players that I picked who missed out are:

Andre Taylor
Robbie Fruean
Gareth Anscombe (injured?)
Andrew Ellis
Luke Braid
Brad Thorn
Richie McCaw (not coming back this year?)
Jeremy Thrush
Ben May
Charlie Faumuina
Jason Rutledge
Hikawera Elliot

 

I guess one key point of difference is that I am purely selecting for this year, with no consideration towards the next World Cup.

Read More

I think I look best with 3-5 days growth, and obviously the number of days will vary between men due to growth rates, and also how it matches their face. The key takeaway here is probably that women think men with beards make better fathers, and that heavy stubble suggests virility. I think it would be a different story if they only asked women, and only regarding a one-night stand. I think clean-shaven would win that one.

 

Here’s the article via Science:

Men may now think twice about reaching for a razor. A new study shows that facial hair says a lot about a man and that attractiveness peaks at the “heavy stubble” phase. Researchers photographed 10 men at four stages of beard growth: clean shaven, 5-day “light” stubble, 10-day “heavy” stubble (shown), and fully bearded. Three hundred and fifty-one women and 177 heterosexual men viewed the photos and rated each face for attractiveness, masculinity, health, and parenting ability. Women ranked heavily stubbled faces as the most attractive. Participants said that the clean-shaven men looked about as healthy and attractive as those with a full beard, but rated the bearded men higher for perceived parenting skills. Light stubble got the short end of the stick, garnering low scores across the board from both men and women. The 5-day growth may be too patchy, the researchers write in the May issue of Evolution and Human Behavior, which suggests “a threshold of density and distribution may be necessary for beards to function as an attractive signal.” Stubble conveys maturity and manliness, they write, with less of the macho aggressiveness implied by a full beard.

Read More

I worked this out all on my own a year ago…  for me the logic is quite crude – people who starve lose weight. A great (but unfortunate) example is those who go on hunger strikes.

I needed to lose a few kilos. Just 10 or so – I had a minor pot belly but otherwise I am reasonably slim. I knew that the problem was lack of exercise and too many carbs. I tried removing carbs from my diet, but it was useless. I finally understood why people struggle to give up sugar or cigarettes. So I decided to just not eat. It was easy to begin with, I just chose the days when I was hungover. I already felt like crap, so some tummy rumblings on top wouldn’t matter much.

My diet evolved to where 2-4 mornings  a week I just skipped breakfast. Once you get used to feeling hungry, it isn’t too bad. I would then eat a large-ish lunch and regular dinner.

The key: every hour that I feel hungry, my body is going to take that as a signal to burn fat for energy. For me that might only be 10-15 hours per week, but that was enough to lose the kilos at a rate of about one per fortnight.

Now, this was all just my only doing – no science, no diet guide. And I figure many people already do this (especially women who just have a ciggy and coffee instead of breakfast), but few would admit that sometimes they starve themselves.

Here’s the science, full article at i09:

 …Most people associate fasting with juice cleanses or religious rituals — a torturous affair that lasts an entire day if not longer, and the sort of thing that should only be done a couple of times each year. But fasts can encompass any number of different strategies, including routines that simply limit the times when you eat each day, or on certain days of the week.

For example, there’s Alternate Day Fasting (ADF) and the Two Day Diet (also known as the 5:2 diet). We’ll get into these in just a bit, but what’s really starting to take off is dailyfasting — the practice of eating only during an 8-hour window of your choosing, and then fasting for the remaining 16 hours of the day.

While some might be inclined to cynically dismiss intermittent fasting as just another fad diet, the scientific evidence in support of daily fasting (or any fasting for that matter) is compelling. Restricting caloric intake for extended periods seems to do a remarkable job of staving off a number of health problems, while yielding some definite benefits.

…One hundred days later, the free-for-all group was a mess. They gained weight, developed high cholesterol, high blood glucose, and experienced liver damage and diminished motor control (ouch).

But as for the mice who practiced the intermittent fast, they weighed 28% less and showed no signs of adverse health. And what’s remarkable is that both groups ate the same amount of calories from the same fatty food. Not only that, the fasting mice also performed better on exercise tests — including a control group of mice who were eating normal food. (You can check out the study for yourself: “Extended Daily Fasting Overrides Harmful Effects of a High-Fat Diet: Study May Offer Drug-Free Intervention to Prevent Obesity and Diabetes“)

…It’s possible to extrapolate this to humans, too. Though anthropologists are not entirely sure how our paleolithic ancestors ate, it’s unlikely that they sat down for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. Those are eating routines from a more modern era — and even then, it’s likely that only the wealthy could afford multiple meals in one day. In all likelihood, our ancestors ate one or two big meals a day. And that was it. Consequently, their bodies were likely both adapted for and accustomed to going for extended periods without food during much of the day.

Other studies point to similar conclusions. Take the work of Valter Longo, for example. Longo, who works out of the University of Southern California’s Longevity Institute, has studied the effects of intermittent fasting on IGF-1, an insulin-like growth factor.

When we consume food, this hormone keeps our body in “go” mode, where our cells are driven to reproduce and facilitate growth. This is great when we need it, but not so much when we’re trying to keep off the weight. Moreover, while it’s good for growth, it can also speed up the aging process. And in fact, Longo compares the effect to “driving along with your foot hard on the accelerator pedal.”

Intermittent fasting, on the other hand, decreases the body’s expression of IGF-1. And it also appears to switch on a number of DNA repair genes. Restricted feeding, says Longo, makes our body go from “growth mode” to “repair mode.”

…Her evidence suggested that fasting can increase HDL-cholesterol (that’s the good kind), while lowering triacylglycerol concentrations. Fasting had no effect on blood pressure. She concluded her study by suggesting that fasting can modulate several risk factors that are known to bring about various chronic diseases.

other research shows that intermittent fasting can offer neuroprotective benefits. Studies on humans show that it can help with weight loss and reduce disease risk.

And incredibly, there may even be a link to cancer. Another study study by Varady and M. Hellerstein on mice indicated that both caloric restriction and alternate-day fasting can reduce cancer risk and reduce cell proliferation rates.

Short-term fasting can induce growth hormone secretion in men (which is a problem for guys after they hit 30), it reduces oxidative stress (fasting prevents oxidative damage to cellular proteins by decreasing the accumulation of oxidative radicals in the cell — what contributes to aging and disease onset), and it’s good for brain health, mental well-being, and clarity.

And as a study published just last week has shown, restricting calories can also lengthen telomeres — which has a protective effect on our DNA and genetic material, which in turn helps with cellular health (i.e. it helps us extend healthy lifespan).

And for people who wish to maintain a ketogenic diet — a metabolic state in which the body is in a perpetual state of fat burning instead of carbohydrate burning — intermittent fasting is a good way to help the body stay in ketosis

Read More

Sorry, it is currently called “climate change” – my mistake…

I am qualified.., under my Bast guise I recently announced on National live TV that the end of the world did not occur.

This opinion piece in Australian media – a country that has fully embraced global warming – makes some pertinent points:

For example, everybody agrees that the warming trend paused 16 years ago, despite a corresponding 10 per cent increase in atmospheric CO2. This ought to be an embarrassment to the global warming alarmists. What exactly is the relationship between CO2 and temperature? Why did the warming trend stop as it did between 1945 and 1975, when CO2 emissions took off?

…The IPCC predicted the end of the Himalayan glaciers based on non-scientific literature; the unusual (or not) melting of sea ice and glaciers; the evidence for warm temperatures during the mediaeval period; the importance of sun spots; changes (or not) in patterns of extreme weather events; ocean “acidification”; ocean warming and rising sea levels; bio-mass absorption and the longevity of molecules of atmospheric CO2; the influence of short-period El Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and other similar oscillations on a multi-decade scale; the chaotic behaviour of clouds; and the impact of cosmic rays on climate. Even James Lovelock, the founder of the “Gaia”, movement has turned sceptic.

…Many distinguished scientists such as Paul Reiter of the Pasteur Institute in Paris, Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT, and Bill Kininmonth, former head of our National Climate Centre, were casually defamed in this way. The same label was applied to world-renowned theoretical physicist Freeman Dyson and Australia’s distinguished Professor Bob Carter.

…Even Professor Paul Jones of the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, a leading contributor to IPCC calculations, confirmed in a 2010 BBC interview that the warming rates of the periods 1860-80, 1910-40 and 1975-98 were statistically similar.

Hopefully foreign media will pick up on this, and start  new trend of embarrassing a gazillion officials and political leaders. God bless America for staying well clear of this lunacy.

Read More

This is a Japanese concept that’s a bit like the LETS trading system that began in Australia. It operates alongside the standard currency, complementing it. And in Japan it is more than just a concept, it actually provides for social services while encouraging community involvement.

Fureai kippu (in Japanese ふれあい切符 :Caring Relationship Tickets) is a Japanese sectoral currency created in 1995 by the Sawayaka Welfare Foundation so that people could earn credits helping seniors in their community.

The basic unit of account is an hour of service to an elderly person. Sometimes seniors help each other and earn the credits, other times family members in other communities earn credits and transfer them to their parents who live elsewhere. For example, an elderly woman who no longer has a driver’s license; if you shop for her, you get credit for that, based on the kind of service and the number of hours. These credits accumulate- users may keep them for when they become sick or elderly themselves, then use the credits in exchange for services. Alternatively, the users may transfer credits to someone else.

A surprising part of the project has been that the elderly tend to prefer the services provided by people paid in Fureai Kippu over those paid in yen. This may be due to the personal connection. When they surveyed the elderly, it was clear they preferred the people who worked for Fureai kippu over the people who worked for yen because of the nature of the relationship. To convert this community service to yen would seem to dilute the community ethic. [Wikipedia]

Surely it could be taken further? Perhaps a welfare organization could become involved with LETS to create a twin currency system, where regular LETS dollars work the same as now but SOCIAL LETS dollars can be earned by anyone but only ultimately cashed in for social services.

A variation exists in Brazil called Saber. Young children receive currency which can only be spent on receiving tuition from older students. The currency works its way up until adult students earn it from tutoring high school pupils, and spend it on tertiary education from the government.

To (eventually) replace national currencies with a more relevant system, the starting point must be something that everyone has access to achieve. The problem with Bitcoin and similar systems is that just by being enrolled you automatically receive currency. This is a good way of kickstarting the system, but ultimately assigns little true value to the currency.

Key Criteria for a Perfect System

Anyone Can Earn. Pretty much the only thing everybody has access to is the utilization of their own body. Those who are under-employed have greater capacity to start earning. Those who are fully employed already have some type of income. See Time Banking at Wikipedia.

Examples of how to earn “time hours” include:

  • Child care
  • Legal assistance
  • Language lessons
  • Livestock production
  • Home maintenance
  • Vermin / weed removal
  • Odd jobs
  • Office or secretarial work
  • Tutoring
  • Hairdressing
  • Driving instruction
  • Delivery of goods
  • Shoe Shining!
  • Respite care / helping the elderly
  • Accounting and bookkeeping
  • Writing

No Lending. Jesus was against lending, and it could be argued that the invention of lending led to much of the inequality in the world. Arguably people who receive only what they have earned are happier and more satisfied than those who trade in future promises. Without lending, bankruptcy becomes impossible. Growth becomes more realistic, and less critical. Consequently, the central “bank” would not pay any interest.

No Fees. It would be backward to only use paper notes and coins. It would also be alien for such a freeing concept that only a central power kept track of your worth. Ideally there would be a central “bank”, a personal card/phone app, a copy on your home server, and paper printouts/receipts at transaction points and at your home – if you choose. That way if suddenly the “bank” said all your money had disappeared, you’d have a way of fixing things. The government would supply the “bank” system free of charge, paid by taxes.

No transactional taxes. Governments would need to find their taxes elsewhere.

Investment encouraged. It would be illegal to loan your currency, but investment in businesses and projects should be encouraged. Money sitting in the bank is idle. Any investment is rewarded via a government dividend, continually adjusted to relate to the ratio of money in the bank to money invested. If few people are investing, dividends go up. If everyone is investing, dividends are zero. Direct return on your investment from the business or project would be limited to something like KickStarter.com, where you receive goods and services for your patronage. Shares cannot be traded. The only way out would be if the business dissolves and everybody gets a return – perhaps only as much as the initial investment and the currency issuer gets the rest. Or you can cash out via receiving goods and services.

All property should be leased. Ideally your society should own all resources – land, water, infrastructure, minerals, forests etc. To get this happening initially, existing owners could be paid with long leases and perhaps money as well. Market forces determine prices, with a discount available to existing lessees, so that they can maintain continuity. Leasing works well for the domain name system.

Taxes should be harm based. Currently people get taxed on achievement. Taxes should be penalties, like taxing cigarettes, taxing pollution, taxing hoarded cash (subject to limits and ratios to income) – see demurrage. That wouldn’t be enough, so tax luxury cars, private education, unproductive land, and jobs that don’t grow society (like accountants and lawyers). Imagine if the armed forces were sponsored by people who consume sugar drinks… Clean living (healthy) people who lead productive lives could proudly claim to pay no taxes. Chain smoking talk radio hosts would suffer big time.

Chains. Fureai Kippu and Sabre are examples of closed loop systems. Ideally every aspect of governmental social spending has a closed, transactional loop. Or a “chain”. For example, every resident is given trash currency relative to (say) their age. Residences give their trash currency to the garbage trucks, enabling a set amount of trash to be taken from their home (they get rewarded for not using all of their credits). The garbage trucks then exchange the trash currency for real currency at the rubbish tip. Their payment is relative to how much tip space they take up. The government is at the start and end of the chain, and each link has incentives to do better.

Problems

In the system described above, inflation would be very low, but circulating currency would keep expanding as people provided more labor. Consequently the value of currency units could continually drop. If the decline was slow, it wouldn’t really matter – just like knowing a horse cost $75 two hundred years ago doesn’t bother me today. If the decline was fast enough to affect things, then a means of returning the currency to the issuer would need to be found. Keep in mind that a decreasing value would encourage use and discourage saving…

The less-privileged in modern society tend to resent those who have inherited fortunes. Many countries therefore have “death duty”. Dissolution of invested businesses could return some currency to the issuer. Perhaps some investments could have short-term goals, where getting your money back plus the pleasure of success is sufficient reward. See kiva.org.

Instead of death duty, perhaps investments all become government owned upon death, and the inheritors are rewarded somehow for the deceased’s wise investments. Cash is inherited free of tax, but hoarded cash attracts tax continually.

A future society could have a large number of people reverting to “old ways” and not interested in an electronic monetary system. A physical system needs to be available. It would need to be cheap to produce, and not easy for the general public to duplicate. For example, perhaps coins made from carbon nano-tubes could be produced for next to nothing. And off-grid folk could pay a minor fee for their freedom, say 5% of the currency value to pay for the physical costs.

Unemployment. There might be a problem with too many people wanting to earn currency with their body/hours relative to jobs. One solution is government industries – necessarily monopolies – where there is always enough work available at minimum wage levels. Factories would be a good example although hopefully in the future humans won’t be doing such work. This also helps with refugee immigration – newcomers could be welcome to arrive if they are willing to work for basic pay.

Preventing theft. Using modern technology, units of currency could carry transactional trails. If someone is paid in physical currency, it could have their name imprinted on it. If your name is not on the currency, it decreases in value by a certain percent. The greater the amount, the greater the reduction. So a million units are only worth 10,000 if they are not yours – but 10 units are worth 9.9.

Bureaucracy. The origin of currency is the issuer, and the distribution is via government agencies in return for services or time rendered. Corruption could be attractive, so tight checks and balances are required. This is inefficient. Transactions should require endorsements from more people as the value rises. The people endorsing the transaction should have no relationship other than the ability to verify the transaction. The level of bureaucracy should be related to the odds of fraud in that field and the transactional value. If for example strawberry farm wages are shown to have a strong change of fraud, then the cost of increased oversight will reduce the value of business being done. People will be incentivised to be honest.

Artists. Artists could receive a “living wage” from the government, and profit from selling their art. The big problem is determining what is genuine art. Once again a sliding scale could be the answer. All artists must make their art available for purchase via a public bidding system. Those whose revenue is below a cut-off point (say the top 95%) lose their living wage for a year or more. The cut-off point and period of wage loss could be continually adjusted to create the best return for the government and the strongest disincentive for bludgers.

Sliding Scale

It has become apparent as I wrote the above that sliding scales are a critical aspect of the system. Penalties, taxes, minimum wages and so on should be continually adjusted to find the perfect balance between what the government and individuals earn. This already happens – when a government has a budget surplus they tend to reduce taxes. To stimulate an economy, interest rates tend to be lowered.

Read More

I’ve spent enough time hanging out without folk who bet on the ponies (and read about, thanks Hank Chinaski) to know that everyone loses and the supposed winners only give you half the story. So it is with wars – the winning side is unlikely to share their failures, but in this day and age the truth surfaces:

Lt. Col. Christopher Raible, 40, and Sgt. Bradley Atwell, 27, were killed after 15 insurgents armed with automatic rifles, rocket-propelled grenades and suicide vests breached the perimeter of Bastion about 10 p.m. Friday… The attack significantly damaged two additional AV-8B Harriers, each worth about $24 million, and destroyed three refueling stations, U.S. military officials said in a statement released Saturday. Six soft-skin aircraft hangars also were damaged. [Marine Corps Times]

If the USA achieved that against an enemy it would be front page news.

It sounds like the insurgents got away with it – no mention of captures or kills.

Good luck finding this story in the mainstream media!

Read More

Think Children of the Corn… the idea of kids turning on adults is superb, and probably a statement on the state of society or something…

Premise:

  • Aliens arrive
  • They can take over the minds of young folk, but not adults
  • Goal: cause humans to wipe out humans

Of course some smarty-pants works out that the kids are the cause, and he sets out to destroy them. Yep, big taboo to save humanity,

Read More

If your beer mug / pint / schooner / pot glass has curves or is fluted – then it is tricking you into thinking that you have much more left to drink than you really do.

In a paper published this month in PLoS ONE, the team reports that whereas the group with straight glasses nursed their 354 milliliters of lager for about 13 minutes, the group with the same amount of beer served in curved glasses finished in less than 8 minutes, drinking alcohol almost as quickly as the soda-drinkers guzzled their pop. However, the researchers observed no differences between people drinking 177 milliliters of beer out of straight versus fluted glasses.

They drank while watching a nature video – chosen as a neutral way of keeping them occupied while they sipped beer as in a social situation.

Another experiment in which participants were asked to judge different levels of fluid in photographs of straight and curved glasses showed that people consistently misjudge the volume in fluted glasses, Attwood says. A simple solution to this problem would be to mark beer glasses with the accurate halfway point, she says. Full story.

Read More

I envision four types of tablets in the future:

  • Apple iPad – one button, not much in terms of accessories, personal use only, primarily used for gaming, watching and reading. Fun
  • Android for Business – same as the iPad but with more accessories and pen input, like the Galaxy Note. Work
  • Android for Fun – smaller devices like the Google Nexus. Expect to see them have more buttons, like a Sony PSP or Vita – so serious gaming can be had. Fun
  • Android Fully Loaded – pen input, plus a keyboard (like ASUS Transformer) and docking station. Work

Apple iPad will still have a place in stores to purely display info, but sales people taking orders will switch to pen input Androids.

Read More

By all accounts Windows 8 is a mess. They have tried to have a touchscreen app system, and a regular Windows system, bound together – and it just isn’t working well.

Meanwhile, Apple’s Mac OS has managed to combined the two. Apple has always been superior to Windows, but it had some negatives that have all been erased. It now:

  • Runs Windows (dual-boot), but with Cloud taking off, compatibility is becoming less necessary
  • Has Intel hardware and uses regular peripherals
  • Is getting cheaper all the time
  • Syncs with all those iPads and iPhones out there

Meanwhile, old hardware brands like HP and Dell are looking and acting really old. Apple Macs are still cool, and ready for a sudden surge in sales. They don’t even need a new model. When new PCs are released with Windows 8 installed, consumers and especially businesses will move to Apple. I expect that I will be one of them.

Read More