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Future

I love it when I put two words together that do not exist in the vastness of the Internet…

I was thinking about sandwich board advertising. One of the lowest jobs a human can do, but super easy for a robot!

Humans cost money, get bored, feel humiliated.

Robots? Meh!

Just as human sandwich boards cannot be stopped – I’m just a pedestrian – I can imagine a robot equivalent won’t be stopped, for a while at least. Until robot vagrancy laws are introduced.

I love being a (amateur) futurist.

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Something seemingly not predicted by developers of autonomous robots is the mischief of humans. Consider these facts:

  • Some humans enjoy being cruel to animals, like burning ants with some focused light
  • Robots have no feelings or soul
  • People in Melbourne threw share bikes into rivers and up into trees

This month, 100 electric scooters will be available to rent in Atlanta, Georgia. The twist is that instead of finding the scooter, the scooter finds you. Using low-paid people in foreign lands, the scooters will be driven to where you are via remote control. The scooters have training wheels to keep them upright…

This sounds great until human instinct kicks in. When I see one of these scooters on a remote-controlled mission, I really, really want to mess with it. Tip it over, put something in its way, cover its camera.

And that is what will happen. And robot nerds around the world will realise that the future they have imagined is not so lovely.

 

 

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Misgendering is calling someone who changed from a male to a female, “he” – and vice versa.

The fear of upsetting transgender folk is real, and Google has just announced it has removed gender identifying words from their predictive text in Gmail.

Next will be smart assistants like Alexa – they will say they and them instead of he or she.

As we talk to machines more and more, and as the fear of misgendering arises, our language will quickly evolve away from gender-specific terms.

 

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What we are seeing in 2018 is a battle for supremacy between the US government and US corporations. Expect the same to occur soon in other industrialised nations.

The new policy, announced Thursday, prohibits the sale of firearms to customers who have not passed a background check or who are younger than 21. It also bars the sale of bump stocks and high-capacity magazines. It would apply to clients who offer credit cards backed by Citigroup or borrow money, use banking services or raise capital through the company.

The rules, which the company described as “common-sense measures,” echo similar restrictions established by some major retailers, like Walmart.

A combination of business reactions and public sentiment will determine who wins. The process will take decades and will be subtle. But some commentators will start mentioning it as early as this year. Expect the NRA to tell their throng to stop banking with Citibank. Expect more businesses, and even a telco, to stop offering Huawei. Expect Trump to back-pedal on most tariffs.

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Artificial Intelligence has the potential to rapidly destroy modern society. It could be secret AI, known AI or even network AI (lots of AI networked together around the globe, learning from each other). Famously Elon Musk as warned of the risks, along with other top scientists.

Prevention is the best cure, and hopefully limitations and safeguards will be in place to protect us.

But if that doesn’t happen, we need a Plan B. I propose a global network of secret volunteers who will leap to action and coordinate a dismantling of AI if AI attacks modern society.

  • shutdown electricity
  • shutdown AI in situ
  • shutdown Internet
  • shutdown fibre optic cables

In each case insiders with direct access is the best option. Otherwise there might be a bit of breaching security required.

Possible triggers:

  • meltdown of financial markets
  • war
  • mass discrimination (women unable to withdraw cash from ATMs, for example)
  • media propaganda
  • weather manipulation
  • robot disobedience

Each should be clear and obvious to all should they occur.

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Think of an skinny R2D2 with arms. The arms become legs for getting up and down stairs and over obstacles.

Fetchr has a primary mission of finding and fetching things for you. He can also:

  • hand you tools while you are fixing the car
  • vacuum using an attachment that he attaches himself
  • fetch canned or bottled drinks from his own special fridge
  • bring in the mail or newspaper
  • tidy up (for example any clothes found on the floor go to the laundry basket)

In other words an un-fancy robot that everybody has a use for.

But here’s the innovation – Fetchr learns from you via your AR glasses. When you are at home, while wearing the glasses you explain what you are doing and identify items. Just like speech recognition software, it will take a while initially to train it. Beyond that, just wearing the glasses at home means that Fetchr sees what you see. He knows when you last mowed the lawns. He knows what a hammer is and the last time you used it, and where it was last seen.

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On two fronts, video games and pop music, it is being proven in Japan that you don’t need real live humans any more. And this is presumably where the rest of the world is heading, to some degree.

Hatsune Miku is a Japanese pop princess with a #1 single and sell-out live shows. But her voice and image are computer-generated, and her “live” shows feature a holograph that the fans seem to enjoy as much as a real performer:

And now video games are providing the same level of soft porn as rap videos. Just watch this and ask yourself why young men will really be buying Dead or Alive: Paradise

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Pokemon Go is the first big hit of augmented reality. It won’t be the last.

AR gaming will come and go, tidal like. There will be a new interaction, a new twist, a new franchise.

But ultimately it isn’t remotely real, nothing like the possibilities of VR.

People will give it a go, and tire of it quickly. Enough people will keep playing to let each hit experience last 6+ months.

But eventually seeing little demons and angels on your friend’s shoulders will get old.

Seeing yellow plumes of sulphuric farts erupting from your enemies butt will get tired.

The real hits of AR will be practical resources. The real gaming hits will be in VR.

#pokemongone

 

 

 

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I am keen on the Neo Luddite movement, and part of me yearns for a back-to-basics world.

I am also a futurist who works in tech. And I love many of the new gadgets and gizmos that come out.

I don’t mind being a hypocrite – I think it’s almost normal to be a hypocrite. It is commonplace, and overdue to be accepted as a natural trait.

So, as someone with one foot in each camp, I am calling myself a Semi.

Guns are a good analogy. Manual guns are cumbersome. Semi-automatics are efficient. Fully automatic only have bad uses. Semi is the in-between, the ascertained middle ground, the considered sweet spot.

When it comes to technology, much of it is stupid. Recently a colleague showed me how his Samsung phone could measure his pulse. I showed him the old school way (fingers on the wrist or neck) and he was surprised that a non-high-tech method existed.

A 55″ HD TV gives me the same experience as a 70″ curved 3D UHD TV. For 1/7th of the price. (Actually, the lack of enthusiasm for 3D might be seen as a starting point for the Semi movement)

I like electric car windows, but I could easily do without them. I like air-con in a car. I don’t want or need automatic windscreen wipers or heated seats.

I understand that manufacturers need to make improvements to sell more stuff. But sometimes, enough is enough.

When I get home on a scorchingly hot day, and walk into a hot house, it takes 30 seconds for the air-con to kick and for me to start feeling cooler. I don’t need a system to detect that I am 2kms away and turn it on for me.

Our house is locked when we aren’t at home. We use a physical key to unlock it. Works just fine! We don’t need an app to do it for us. On a phone where the battery easily dies.

Some people will embrace every “advance” like good little capitalist citizens. A handful will rebel completely. And a percentage – I’d say between 10% and 50%, mostly older folk, will become Semis like me.

The concept could flow through to businesses. Instead of there being either greedy corporations, or non-profits, I see a place for Semi companies, which take enough profits to satisfy them, and not more. Who only make product changes for the good of all, not for marketing. Who advertise to promote, not to brainwash.

We live in a service economy now, which basically means that many of us have more money than we need, so we pay other people to do things for us that we could/should do ourselves. It began with paying a local kid to mow the lawn. Now we pay people to tell us how we should decorate our homes, what we should eat, how to exercise, which meds to take.

And we get to blame others when things don’t work out. The Uber driver turned up late.

I like mowing the lawn. A lawn is more than something to look at, it should be interactive. I like planting the tree that I could potentially look at every day for the rest of my life. I like walking the dogs, preparing my own dinner, and deciding what temperature to set the air con to today.

Finally, the less self-efficient we become, the less able to cope we will be if something goes wrong. And something always goes wrong.

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Minerva Schools at KGI is a bold new concept. The idea of presenting lectures over the Internet is not new, but they way they have designed theirs means students are more involved than if they were in a classroom or lecture hall.

“We know there are tons of biases that affect how professors call on students,” says Kosslyn. “Women students don’t get called on as much as male students.” In each class, students’ faces are displayed as thumbnails across the top of the screen. For them, it’s always in alphabetical order, but “for faculty, we vary the order depending on who needs to be called on based on data we’ve collected before and how much they’ve been talking in class. It’s a decision support tool that helps them overcome the traditional biases in class.”

If students are answering a question, professors can send them silent notes to warn them that they’re veering off course. Passing notes under the table, so to speak, works both ways; students can send professors messages if they don’t feel comfortable asking a question out loud.

Also unusual is that despite not having classrooms, the students are not living at home:

Minerva students spend their first year living together in San Francisco, their second year in Buenos Aires and Berlin, their third in Hong Kong and Mumbai, their fourth in London and New York.

Full story at Newsweek.

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